TEL:EURONEXT OSLOTelenor ASA Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
$199.41
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TE Connectivity trades around $199, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $206 and enjoys a 38% upside potential, indicating an undervalued position. The stock’s trailing PE of 28.7 is below the industry average of 33.7, while revenue is expanding at a robust 21.7% YoY and forward EPS is projected to jump to $12.37, more than double the trailing $6.94, underscoring strong growth momentum. Dividend sustainability looks solid with a 40% payout ratio, healthy operating cash flow of $4.13 bn and a modest 1.46% yield.
Technical indicators show the price sitting beneath the 20‑day (220), 50‑day (225) and 200‑day (212) SMAs, signaling a short‑term bearish bias, yet the RSI of 34.7 points to oversold conditions near the $197 support level. Recent news highlights an AI‑driven revenue surge, a $750 m senior notes refinancing and a new $3 bn revolving credit facility, all complemented by analyst upgrades to Outperform and Strong Buy, which together reinforce a medium‑to‑long‑term bullish case despite the current volatility and beta of 1.25.
Technical indicators show the price sitting beneath the 20‑day (220), 50‑day (225) and 200‑day (212) SMAs, signaling a short‑term bearish bias, yet the RSI of 34.7 points to oversold conditions near the $197 support level. Recent news highlights an AI‑driven revenue surge, a $750 m senior notes refinancing and a new $3 bn revolving credit facility, all complemented by analyst upgrades to Outperform and Strong Buy, which together reinforce a medium‑to‑long‑term bullish case despite the current volatility and beta of 1.25.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price near key support at $197
- Bearish MACD histogram
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 21.7% revenue growth and accelerating EPS
- Undervalued relative to DCF and industry PE
- Positive analyst upgrades and AI revenue tailwinds
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand from AI, e‑mobility and industrial IoT
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Strong balance sheet and access to $3 bn credit facility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.70%
Profit Margin11.41%
P/E Ratio28.7
ROE16.10%
ROA9.39%
Debt/Equity45.69
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$4.1B
Free Cash Flow$2.0B
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.7
Support$197.07
Resistance$245.00
MA 20$220.46
MA 50$225.21
MA 200$212.20
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$206.60
Target Price$275.37
Upside/Downside38.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.25
Volatility45.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.