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TEL:EURONEXT OSLOTelenor ASA Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$199.41

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TE Connectivity trades around $199, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $206 and enjoys a 38% upside potential, indicating an undervalued position. The stock’s trailing PE of 28.7 is below the industry average of 33.7, while revenue is expanding at a robust 21.7% YoY and forward EPS is projected to jump to $12.37, more than double the trailing $6.94, underscoring strong growth momentum. Dividend sustainability looks solid with a 40% payout ratio, healthy operating cash flow of $4.13 bn and a modest 1.46% yield.
Technical indicators show the price sitting beneath the 20‑day (220), 50‑day (225) and 200‑day (212) SMAs, signaling a short‑term bearish bias, yet the RSI of 34.7 points to oversold conditions near the $197 support level. Recent news highlights an AI‑driven revenue surge, a $750 m senior notes refinancing and a new $3 bn revolving credit facility, all complemented by analyst upgrades to Outperform and Strong Buy, which together reinforce a medium‑to‑long‑term bullish case despite the current volatility and beta of 1.25.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price near key support at $197
  • Bearish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 21.7% revenue growth and accelerating EPS
  • Undervalued relative to DCF and industry PE
  • Positive analyst upgrades and AI revenue tailwinds

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand from AI, e‑mobility and industrial IoT
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Strong balance sheet and access to $3 bn credit facility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.70%
Profit Margin11.41%
P/E Ratio28.7
ROE16.10%
ROA9.39%
Debt/Equity45.69
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash Flow$4.1B
Free Cash Flow$2.0B
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.7
Support$197.07
Resistance$245.00
MA 20$220.46
MA 50$225.21
MA 200$212.20
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$206.60
Target Price$275.37
Upside/Downside38.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.25
Volatility45.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.